Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.588111 2.759038 2.940868 3.149613 3.383786 3.639746 3.942558
2026-02-08 2.263464 2.488002 2.739543 3.045302 3.411255 3.840992 4.392866
2026-02-15 2.103483 2.357380 2.651439 3.022775 3.487656 4.062768 4.849321
2026-02-22 1.970881 2.240976 2.561770 2.979030 3.520504 4.219859 5.229724
2026-03-01 1.842081 2.116793 2.449183 2.891247 3.480973 4.269032 5.458781
2026-03-08 1.726139 1.999825 2.335790 2.790520 3.410749 4.263074 5.599221
2026-03-15 1.664226 1.945737 2.296954 2.781918 3.460592 4.424598 6.006787
2026-03-22 1.608034 1.895136 2.258493 2.769284 3.501035 4.572996 6.411853
2026-03-29 1.559466 1.851396 2.225769 2.760901 3.544719 4.727747 6.848672
2026-04-05 1.544535 1.850183 2.248573 2.830038 3.706095 5.080782 7.696738
2026-04-12 1.505672 1.815154 2.223254 2.827959 3.758165 5.261282 8.258349
2026-04-19 1.525124 1.858564 2.307065 2.989256 4.077934 5.933555 9.978048
2026-04-26 1.450684 1.774655 2.213526 2.887434 3.977575 5.873609 10.154261
2026-05-03 1.381866 1.696550 2.125689 2.790583 3.880124 5.812443 10.329650
2026-05-10 1.342361 1.657103 2.090721 2.771909 3.910895 5.994493 11.151779
2026-05-17 1.300128 1.612066 2.045378 2.733813 3.904264 6.102093 11.820952
2026-05-24 1.249798 1.553846 1.978338 2.657473 3.824161 6.051394 12.038256
2026-05-31 1.199191 1.493697 1.906302 2.569609 3.717378 5.934081 12.033154
2026-06-07 1.173881 1.468618 1.884982 2.562094 3.754359 6.123294 13.034719
2026-06-14 1.149144 1.443468 1.862422 2.551052 3.783553 6.299649 14.080587
2026-06-21 1.126804 1.420992 1.842892 2.543723 3.818721 6.494432 15.297357
2026-06-28 1.122905 1.424972 1.863371 2.604111 3.988235 7.030745 18.207470
2026-07-05 1.103818 1.406063 1.847906 2.602297 4.035571 7.280718 20.131466